Comuvia ForeGlass™

Fragility overview / Detail

Debt service and solvency

Required household debt payments relative to disposable income, with the publisher’s method and coverage.

Explore observed history

Retained evidence in its native reporting frequency. Values do not become daily observations when the page refreshes.

Published household estimate

Debt-service / solvency

How much household income is committed to required debt payments?

11.16%

2026Q1 · quarterly · latest retained evidence

Published household statistics: quarterly estimated payment-burden history. Business payment coverage and aggregate solvency remain separate questions.

How to read it: Higher means more household income committed to required debt payments; lower means less. There is no universal safe cutoff.

Latest retained reading: 2026Q1: about $11.16 in required debt payments per $100 of household disposable income. This aggregate does not identify which households are in distress.

Household payment burden

Y axis: Required household payments / disposable income (%)

Household payment burdenRequired household payments / disposable income (%). Calendar time on the horizontal axis. Observations and scenarios retain their own dates and frequency. Exact recorded values appear in the table; a dash means no value exists on that date.COVID-19 downturn · Feb–Apr 20208.839.6410.4611.2712.092017201820192020202120222023202420252026Household required debt payments / disposable incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2016Q1: 11.76 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2016Q2: 11.77 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2016Q3: 11.77 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2016Q4: 11.87 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2017Q1: 11.72 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2017Q2: 11.76 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2017Q3: 11.82 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2017Q4: 11.82 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2018Q1: 11.64 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2018Q2: 11.6 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2018Q3: 11.62 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2018Q4: 11.67 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2019Q1: 11.5 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2019Q2: 11.63 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2019Q3: 11.65 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2019Q4: 11.73 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2020Q1: 11.59 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2020Q2: 9.74 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2020Q3: 10.06 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2020Q4: 10.39 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2021Q1: 9.05 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2021Q2: 9.84 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2021Q3: 10.01 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2021Q4: 10.23 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2022Q1: 10.47 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2022Q2: 10.68 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2022Q3: 10.57 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2022Q4: 10.74 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2023Q1: 10.56 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2023Q2: 10.58 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2023Q3: 10.75 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2023Q4: 11.1 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2024Q1: 11.06 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2024Q2: 11.02 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2024Q3: 11.14 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2024Q4: 11.12 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2025Q1: 11.11 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2025Q2: 11.12 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2025Q3: 11.23 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2025Q4: 11.32 % of disposable personal incomeHousehold required debt payments / disposable income; 2026Q1: 11.16 % of disposable personal income

X axis: calendar dates; each series retains its own observation or simulation cadence.

Named US recession intervals provide historical context. They do not identify the cause of each change.

  • COVID-19 downturn · Feb–Apr 2020 Source
Household required debt payments / disposable income
Read values as a table
Retained-vintage observations, plotted at period end. Connecting points does not create daily observations. Fiscal years end September 30. Units: % of disposable personal income.
Date / observation periodHousehold required debt payments / disposable income
2016Q111.76
2016Q211.77
2016Q311.77
2016Q411.87
2017Q111.72
2017Q211.76
2017Q311.82
2017Q411.82
2018Q111.64
2018Q211.6
2018Q311.62
2018Q411.67
2019Q111.5
2019Q211.63
2019Q311.65
2019Q411.73
2020Q111.59
2020Q29.74
2020Q310.06
2020Q410.39
2021Q19.05
2021Q29.84
2021Q310.01
2021Q410.23
2022Q110.47
2022Q210.68
2022Q310.57
2022Q410.74
2023Q110.56
2023Q210.58
2023Q310.75
2023Q411.1
2024Q111.06
2024Q211.02
2024Q311.14
2024Q411.12
2025Q111.11
2025Q211.12
2025Q311.23
2025Q411.32
2026Q111.16

How to use it: Publisher estimate of the aggregate household payment burden. Required payments differ from payments actually made and from business debt service.

Definition, coverage and source dates

Household required debt payments / disposable income: Zero means no required payments in this ratio, not a safe-economy threshold. There is no calibrated risk cutoff. A larger aggregate share of household disposable income is committed to required payments. Units: % of disposable personal income; cadence: quarterly.

  • Households only; not corporate debt service or all private borrowers.
  • An aggregate ratio conceals unequal income, debt and liquid buffers.
  • No pre-2005 method splice or daily interpolation.
  • OUR RETRIEVAL RETURNED TEXT STATING that quarterly values computed with the current methodology are available FROM 2005 FORWARD. This matches the pack exactly: 85 quarterly observations, 2005-01-01 through 2026-01-01
  • OUR RETRIEVAL RETURNED NO STATEMENT of when the current methodology was introduced, revised or first applied - only of when values computed with it are available. A CONVERSION THAT CAN DROP CONTENT CANNOT DISTINGUISH AN ABSENCE AT THE SOURCE FROM AN ABSENCE IN THE RENDERING, so this is NOT evidence that the page is silent; it is evidence that what reached us was. No method-vintage is recorded here either way
  • Historical values use the retained current vintage; they are not an archive of the values known or published at each historical date.
  • fed-household-payments · retained vintage 2026-07-25 · retrieval 2026-07-26T02:59:25Z
    Source SHA-256: 6c5ed5982a05655f5c5e47118abc325582c03b61097a38d0e858f0897a0fb3a9

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Refresh: retained-data release; automated source checking is not connected to this panel. It may omit newer releases. Consult the source dates and vintages above.

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